Boris Johnson is resigning as prime minister, triggering a leadership contest in the Conservative party.
So who are the candidates that could stand to replace him: Up until the last few months, the former chancellor was seen by many Conservative MPs as the frontrunner in the race to succeed Mr. Johnson.
But after introducing a number of policies – such as increasing National Insurance contributions – that went down badly with Tory MPs, his popularity has slumped.
Rishi Sunak MP
Having also been issued with a fixed penalty notice for attending the PM’s birthday party during lockdown, his ability to separate himself from partygate has been compromised.
The revelation his wife, multi-millionaire Akhshata Murty, held non-dom status and therefore did not have to pay UK tax on her sizeable international income also damaged his standing.
Mr Sunak had been in Number 11 since early 2020, being elevated straight from a junior ministerial post to one of the most powerful cabinet positions after Sajid Javid’s surprise resignation.
Within a matter of weeks COVID struck and the former chancellor assumed a prominent role in the government’s pandemic response, announcing a raft of measures to support workers and businesses.
His slick social media graphics promoting his various policies have been seen as an attempt to build his personal brand and pave the way for a future leadership bid.
Mr Sunak was elected in 2015, succeeding former Tory leader Lord Hague in the seat of Richmond in North Yorkshire.
He backed Brexit in 2016, telling his constituents at the time that it was the “toughest decision” of his political career.
Liz Truss MP
The foreign secretary has long been touted as a potential successor to Mr Johnson, and has been shown to be popular among Conservative party members in surveys.
Ms Truss, like Mr Sunak, is widely seen to have been laying the groundwork for a future tilt at the top job with her social media output.
She has been an MP since 2010 and began rising up the ministerial ladder soon after entering parliament.
She is currently the longest continuously serving member of the cabinet, having held positions under David Cameron, Theresa May and Boris Johnson.
“Liz Truss: the new Iron Lady?” read the headline of a profile piece in The Times just before Christmas.
Any comparisons to Margaret Thatcher, Tory PM from 1979 to 1990 and a figure adored by the party faithful, will only help Ms Truss, who seems all too willing to play up any likeness.
Jeremy Hunt MP
The current chair of the Health and Social Care Select Committee was Boris Johnson’s rival in the head-to-head run-off in the last Conservative leadership election in 2019.
The dividing line in that contest was Brexit – and Mr Johnson’s vow to leave the EU even without a deal saw him win 66% of the vote.
After the contest Boris Johnson surprised many by sacking Jeremy Hunt as foreign secretary.
While Mr Hunt appears to have grown to enjoy his role as a party grandee and chair of a select committee, he has repeatedly refused to rule out another run at the leadership.
His backers believe his strength as a candidate would come from not being tainted by being part of Mr Johnson’s cabinet.
Sajid Javid MP
Sajid Javid has held almost every senior cabinet position – he was most recently health secretary, but has served as chancellor, home secretary, housing secretary, business secretary and culture secretary.
He previously stood for the leadership on a joint ticket with former cabinet minister Stephen Crabb in 2016, and as a candidate in his own right in the 2019 race, but failed to secure enough support to make the final run-off.
Numerous profiles have been written about his remarkable backstory – the son of a Pakistani immigrant bus driver, who lived above a shop in Bristol and became a high-flying investment banker and then a politician.
He returned to Boris Johnson’s cabinet last summer having dramatically resigned as chancellor at the start of 2020 when he refused to allow Number 10 to choose his team of advisers.
During his time on the backbenches he made efforts to portray himself as a Thatcherite and was critical of some COVID measures, but his support for the Remain campaign in the Brexit referendum, and backing of Plan B COVID measures, may put off some Conservative MPs.
Priti Patel MP
For some time Priti Patel was seen as the darling of the Conservative grassroots, with a proud right-wing stance on immigration and public spending.
She was a major backer of Boris Johnson’s leadership bid in 2019 and was rewarded by being appointed home secretary.
But since taking on that role her star appears to have faded, with her handling of the small boat crossings in the Channel being a source of significant criticism.
Her popularity among the right wing of the parliamentary party means her candidacy should not be written off, but questions over her handling of the Channel migrant crisis have likely dented her chances.
However, a report published in November 2020 by the prime minister’s then adviser on ministerial standards, Sir Alex Allan, had found the home secretary had breached the ministerial code with behaviour that amounted to bullying.
Mr Johnson overruled, saying the code hadn’t been broken and she could keep her job.
Ms Patel issued an “unreserved apology to anybody who has been upset by anything that has taken place”.
Ben Wallace MP
Defence secretary Ben Wallace has risen up the popularity rankings amongst party members in recent months.
He has won praise from backbenchers in Westminster for his calm under pressure and handling of the Ukraine crisis.
His role in overseeing the evacuation of refugees and British nationals from Afghanistan was also applauded and he continues to be a key voice in the UK’s response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Mr Wallace also has ties to Scotland, having both previously been an MSP and commissioned as a member of the Scots Guard before entering Westminster.
This could be favourable if the government faces continuing calls for a second Scottish independence referendum.
A long-term ally of Boris Johnson, he has claimed he has “no interest” in the leadership and feels privileged to be in the position he currently holds.
But if concern over changing leader during a time of war is playing on the minds of Tory MPs, could Mr Wallace be persuaded to step up as the candidate best placed to ease those nerves?
Dominic Raab MP
Dominic Raab stood in as acting prime minister when Boris Johnson was struck down with COVID in the spring of 2020.
His current position as both justice secretary and deputy prime minister should, on paper at least, put him in a strong position to put his hat in the ring.
But his attempt to win the top job did not succeed in 2019, and many cast doubt on the idea it would he would be able to secure sufficient support from Conservative MPs this time around.
The wafer-thin majority he holds in his Esher and Walton constituency would also likely give any potential backers pause for thought.
He was seen as lucky to keep a government job in Boris Johnson’s most recent reshuffle following major criticisms of his response to the Taliban takeover in Afghanistan while foreign secretary.
Currently serving as the secretary of state for the new levelling up department, Michael Gove would be one of the most experienced candidates should he choose to run.
He has been at the heart of Boris Johnson’s government throughout his premiership, first running the cabinet office, and then taking on responsibility for what the prime minister described as the central plank of his agenda.
But his decision to pull the rug from under Boris Johnson’s leadership bid in 2016, having initially been his campaign chairman, has lived long in the memory of Conservative MPs.
(UPDATE: PM Boris Johnson sacked Michael Gove on Wednesday, July 6, 2022)
Names to keep an eye on
Leadership contests often see bids from politicians who are not necessarily seen as favourites from the outset, but who can sometimes gain traction as the race builds momentum.
Tom Tugendhat MP
Tom Tugendhat, the current chair of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee, became the first to throw his hat in the ring as a Conservative leadership candidate if Mr Johnson leaves office.
Mr Tugendhat, a former soldier, was heavily critical of the government’s handling of the Afghanistan crisis and could be a possible figurehead for the so-called One Nation conservative wing, particularly if Jeremy Hunt chooses not to stand.
Announcing his future bid for leader, Mr Tugendhat said it would be a “huge privilege” to serve as prime minister, a job he once described as like winning the lottery.
He added that anyone who would be able to garner support from a group of colleagues should “go for it” and it was “up to all of us to put ourselves forward”.
Although lacking in ministerial experience, Mr Tugendhat’s name is increasingly coming up as a viable option for the next Conservative Party leader.
The Foreign Affairs Select Committee chairman supported the campaign to remain in the EU but voted loyally on Brexit matters under both former PM Theresa May and Boris Johnson.
He has opposed stricter coronavirus measures during the pandemic.
Penny Mordaun MP
Another potential candidate is Penny Mordaunt, who was sacked as defence secretary when Boris Johnson came to power.
Having kept a relatively low profile since returning to government as an international trade minister, she is nonetheless seen as popular with Conservative MPs and ambitious.
Ms Mordaunt, who is seen by some as a possible dark horse of a future Conservative leadership contest, has said she was “shocked at the stupidity of what has taken place” in Downing Street with regards to the partygate row.
For Tory backbenchers who want to see a change in political direction of the government, particularly when it comes to the approach to the pandemic, Mark Harper could be a possible option.
The former chief whip was eliminated in the first round when he ran for the leadership in 2016, but his role as co-chair of the lockdown sceptic COVID Recovery Group has seen him act as a spokesman for a wing of the party over the last year.
Suella Braverman MP
Attorney General Suella Braverman said “it’s time to go” for Mr Johnson and said she would put her name into the ring if there is a leadership contest.
Ms Braverman said the prime minister had handled matters “appallingly” in recent days.
She said: “The balance has tipped now in favour of saying that the prime minister – it pains me to say it – but it’s time to go.”
(SOURCE: Sky News)